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This paper reports on a study using the available oil monitoring information, such as the data obtained using the Spectrometric Oil Analysis Programme (SOAP), to predict the residual life of a set of aircraft engines. The relationship between oil monitoring information and the residual life is established using the concept of the proportional residual, which states that the predicted residual life may be proportional to the wear increment measured by the oil analysis programmes. Assuming such a relationship between wear and the residual life exists, we formulated a recursive prediction model for the item's residual life given measured oil monitoring information to date. A set of censored life data of 30 aircraft engines (right censored due to preventive overhaul) along with the history of their monitored metal concentration information are available to us. The metal concentration information includes many variables, such as Fe, Cu, Al, etc.; not all of them are useful, and some of them may be correlated. The principal component analysis (PCA) has been adopted to reduce the dimension of the original data set and to produce a new set of uncorrelated variables, which we shall use in the prediction model. The procedure associated with estimating model parameters is discussed. The model is fitted to the actual SOAP data from the aircraft engines, and the goodness‐of‐fit test has been carried out. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005. 相似文献
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星载铷钟在许多空间系统中起着重要作用,要求其具有高的可靠性。阐述了故障模式及影响分析在星载铷钟可靠性设计中的重要作用,介绍了星载铷钟的基本原理和结构简图,依据星载铷钟的功能将其划分为6个子系统,在此基础上进行了故障模式及影响分析,并给出了物理泵体子系统的部分FMEA结果。 相似文献
45.
We consider a make‐to‐order production–distribution system with one supplier and one or more customers. A set of orders with due dates needs to be processed by the supplier and delivered to the customers upon completion. The supplier can process one order at a time without preemption. Each customer is at a distinct location and only orders from the same customer can be batched together for delivery. Each delivery shipment has a capacity limit and incurs a distribution cost. The problem is to find a joint schedule of order processing at the supplier and order delivery from the supplier to the customers that optimizes an objective function involving the maximum delivery tardiness and the total distribution cost. We first study the solvability of various cases of the problem by either providing an efficient algorithm or proving the intractability of the problem. We then develop a fast heuristic for the general problem. We show that the heuristic is asymptotically optimal as the number of orders goes to infinity. We also evaluate the performance of the heuristic computationally by using lower bounds obtained by a column generation approach. Our results indicate that the heuristic is capable of generating near optimal solutions quickly. Finally, we study the value of production–distribution integration by comparing our integrated approach with two sequential approaches where scheduling decisions for order processing are made first, followed by order delivery decisions, with no or only partial integration of the two decisions. We show that in many cases, the integrated approach performs significantly better than the sequential approaches. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005 相似文献
46.
The coordination of production, supply, and distribution is an important issue in logistics and operations management. This paper develops and analyzes a single‐machine scheduling model that incorporates the scheduling of jobs and the pickup and delivery arrangements of the materials and finished jobs. In this model, there is a capacitated pickup and delivery vehicle that travels between the machine and the storage area, and the objective is to minimize the makespan of the schedule. The problem is strongly NP‐hard in general but is solvable in polynomial time when the job processing sequence is predetermined. An efficient heuristic is developed for the general problem. The effectiveness of the heuristic is studied both analytically and computationally. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005. 相似文献
47.
We examine two key stochastic processes of interest for warranty modeling: (1) remaining total warranty coverage time exposure and (2) warranty load (total items under warranty at time t). Integral equations suitable for numerical computation are developed to yield probability law for these warranty measures. These two warranty measures permit warranty managers to better understand time‐dependent warranty behavior, and thus better manage warranty cash reserves. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005. 相似文献
48.
针对船舶推进装置中柴油主机相继增压特性的优化问题,在理论分析的基础上,建立了基于准稳态假设的增压系统能量平衡模型.对相继增压系统的稳、动态特性进行了分析,讨论了相继增压系统的特性优化问题,为主机采用相继增压技术的柴油机推进装置的性能优化、控制策略的制订提供了理论依据. 相似文献
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一种基于方位时延的水下被动目标运动分析算法研究 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:2
设计了一种新型的水下被动目标运动分析系统.以测得的方位序列和到达不同传感器的时间差为基础,建立了状态方程和观测方程,运用扩展卡尔曼滤波算法,对系统进行了分析.通过蒙特卡罗模拟仿真实验结果表明,此算法具有收敛速度快、精度高、稳定性好等优点,有着良好的实际应用前景. 相似文献
50.
武器系统采购费与维修费权衡的依据分析 总被引:4,自引:2,他引:2
根据武器系统寿命周期费用的理论和方法,建立了系统的费用模型,依据数学分析和优化理论,在已知可用武器系统目标数的前提下,建立了费用优化条件,确定了采购费与维修费的比例限值,用以确定武器系统采购费和维修费的最优比例,从而对系统方案确定的权衡分析提供量化依据. 相似文献